Time for my fourth installment of
Erin's Sacramento Short Sale Experiment! I am sure ya'll are just on the edge of your seats to find out just what has transpired in the world of
short sales in our
Sacramento metro area since the last time? I have deliberately allowed more time to pass between Part III and Part IV, so that we can see if a trend has truly emerged. For those of you not following along at home, or perhaps if you are reading this for the first time, my
short sale experiment is tracking a few different
Sacramento zip codes to see what how the
short sale activity increases or decreases over time as compared with traditional resale listings (where there is a
seller with equity in a "normal transaction") and to
bank-owned resale transactions. My hypothesis at the start of this experiment: the number of
short sales will grow over time, as will their dominance in our greater
Sacramento marketplace (overall percentage of
listings). I have continued to
list more short sale properties. Let's see how this new data compares to the "
control data" for the experiment and also to
last month...
95624 is the section of
Elk Grove closest to Hwy 99. As of right this second according to MLS, there are a total of 332 active listings there. 227/332 listings are
short sales. The median price in that zip code in October 2009 was $230,000 according to Trendgraphix (an decrease over last installment). The result vs. the
control data? Control data was 68.6% of all active listings in
95624 were
short sales, vs. 72.5%
last installment, vs. 68.3% this month. BIG DECREASE over the control data, but a more significant decrease over last installment. Number of YTD closed
short sales - 203.
95610 is a section of
Citrus Heights. As of right this second according to MLS, there are a total of 156 active listings there. 105/156 listings are
short sales. The median price in that zip code in October 2009 was $215,000 according to Trendgraphix (a significant increase over last installment). The result vs. the
control data? Control data was 60.3% of all active listings in 95610 were
short sales, vs. 68.5%
last installment, vs. 67.3% this month. BIG INCREASE over the control data, and a slight decrease over last installment. Number of YTD closed
short sales - 76.
95826 is a section of
Rosemont and
College Greens. As of right this second according to MLS, there are a total of 124 active listings there. 92/124 listings are
short sales. The median price in that zip code in October 2009 was also $190,000 according to Trendgraphix (an increase from last installment). The result vs. the
control data? Control data was 62.2% of all active listings in 95826 were
short sales, vs. 63.3%
last installment, vs. 74.1% this month = BIG INCREASE. Number of YTD closed
short sales - 52.
95864 is a section of
Sierra Oaks,
Arden Park, and
Arden Manor. As of right this second according to MLS, there are a total of 151 active listings there. 39/151 listings are
short sales. The median price in that zip code in October 2009 was $260,000 according to Trendgraphix (a decrease over last installment). The result vs. the
control data? Control data was 17.0% of all active listings in 95864 were
short sales, vs. 21.6%
last installment, vs. 25.8% this month. BIG INCREASE. Number of YTD closed
short sales - 16.
95818 is a section of
Midtown,
Land Park, and
Curtis Park. As of right this second according to MLS, there are a total of 60 active listings there. 15/60 listings are
short sales. The median price in that zip code in Octobet 2009 was $352,000 according to Trendgraphix (slight decrease over last installment). The result vs. the
control data? Control data was 16.0% of all active listings in 95818 were
short sales, vs. 21.7%
last installment, vs. 25.0% this month. BIG INCREASE. Number of YTD closed
short sales - 14.
95819 is a section of
East Sacramento. As of right this second according to MLS, there are a total of 62 active listings there. 14/62 listings are
short sales. The median price in that zip code in October 2009 was $348,000 according to Trendgraphix (a decrease over last installment). The result vs. the
control data? Control data was 19.7% of all active listings in 95819 were
short sales, vs. 13.9%
last month, vs. 22.6 this month. BIG INCREASE. Number of YTD closed
short sales - 9.
So in summary - of the six
Sacramento area zip codes I am tracking for my experiment, 5 of them experienced an increase in the number of active
short sale listings...the majority of the zip codes posted pretty large proportional increases, and the one decreasing zip code I am tracking posted a pretty large proportional decrease. My phone definitely keeps ringing and I continue to receive emails - I am fielding lots of inquiries from
homeowners looking for more information and insight from my
short sale experience...
buyers too are really curious about the
short sale process since they are encountering so many
short sale listings in our marketplace. Also (you will be aware of this if you follow me on
Twitter or
Facebook), I closed many of my own
short sale listings since the last installment of
Erin's Sacramento Short Sale Experiment...and I have one
Natomas short sale closing tomorrow. Until next time!
Erin's Sacramento Short Sale Experiment, Part IErin's Sacramento Short Sale Experiment, Part IIErin's Sacramento Short Sale Experiment, Part III